Superforecasting: The Art and Science of Prediction
Philip Tetlock's research on what makes some people exceptionally good at predicting the future.
Why Read This Book?
Tetlock's research identifies traits of successful forecasters.
Key Takeaways
- Forecasting is a skill that can be learned
- Probabilistic thinking beats binary predictions
- Regular feedback improves accuracy
- Intellectual humility is essential
Who Should Read
Scenario planners and anyone making forward-looking assessments.